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THE UZBEK RIDDLE
KN Rao
20 May 2005
“As in the case of USA, so in Russia, terrorist activities
and difficulties it is likely to face from its former republics,
can only in-crease.
(From THE VISIBLE TRENDS
IN INDIA AND THE WORLD IN 2005 (4 April 2005)
In the cold war days, 1945 to 1991, USA
was never hesistant to use any group or nation which could
help it fight the threat of communism under USSR spreading
in the world and engulfing other countries. The Korean and
Vietnamese wars, with China cooperating with USSR for some
years, was a big threat USA saw then.
In 1979, when USSR committed, what now can be called a big
blunder retrospectively, by sending its troops to Afghanistan,
USA never hesitated to rouse, support and aid what now it
calls the menace of Islamic fundamentalism.Osama bin Laden
and Al Quaeda were American creations and were used against
USSR.
In the changed post 1991 world politics, the lone recognised
super power, USA and the former super power, Russia , which
is still a military super power, now find themselves engaged
in fighting Islamic fundamentalism. Yet, in the US-Russia
relations, the bitterness of the cold war days, keeps surfacing.
Against this background the attitude of both Russia and Putin
on the one hand and of Bush and USA on the other hand, becomes
a contrasting study, and a riddle.
USA
rushes to proclaim its verdict about the human records
and promotion of democratic values in those countries
which are not its acknowledged allies on its global war
on terrorism, which essentially gets identified with Islamic
terrorism. This hypocrisy of USA is well known all over
the world but when might is right, no one should even
grudge the role of USA as a global policeman and in that
sense, the worst terrorist of the world.
Russia is concerned only with fighting this terrorism
as it knows what it means, because of its Chechen experience.
Both USA now and USSR, earlier, had made use of the airports
of Uzbekistan to send their troops to Afghanistan. And
both want Karimov of Uzbekistan to succeed.
Uzbek President Islam Karimov
had come into power two years before the collapse of USSR
and he was a Stalinist then. From 1991, he did not miss
the chance of consolidating his power. In 2001 he became
a known ally of USA in its war against terrorism, particularly
against the Taliban regime in Afghanistan.
Like Pervez Musharraf of Pakistan
who is the darling of USA, not promoting democracy which
USA talks about loudly and has failed to promote in Iraq
or for that matter in any country of West Asia, Uzbek
President Islam Karimov has been its hottest favourite
so long as the Afghan battle was not won and Karzai
installed in a more pleasing way democratically.
USA cannot withdraw its troops either from Afghanistan
or Iraq in its present scheme of subjugating West Asian
countries, control their rich oil resources and safeguard
the interests of Israel.
What will happen, if Karimov is overthrown in Uzbekistan
and Musharraf in Pakistan ? In the clash between USA and
the Islamic fundamentalists, the US strategy so far has
been to support Pakistan with massive aid ignoring the
terrible opposition that a majority in Pakistan have to
USA. In Uzbekistan, there is yet no such Islamic uprising
against USA which USA inevitably arouses in every Muslim
country with failing.
In Uzbekistan, Islamic fundamentalists are not said to
have become so active or strong yet and Karimov’s claim
of suppressing them, follows the familiar aftermath of
US blunders internationally. Every bit of policy USA has
followed since 11 September 2001 incident, has incenced
Muslims and fanned Islamic fundamentalism which can neither
be silenced nor uprooted.
What then is likely to happen in Uzbekistan ? To seek
an astrological answer, a glance at the horoscope of Uzbekistan
I have used, out of the four made availalble to me, does
throw some light.
In Vimshottari dasha it is Rahu-Venus from 14 May 2003
to 14 May 2006.
In Chara dasha it is the dasha of Meena which contains
Karakamsha and the antardasha of Dhanu from 29 April 2005
to 28 November 2005.
It is in this period that the violent incidents took such
a heavy toll of Uzbek rebels . Both the Vimshottari and
Chara dasha show the consequences that are to follow.
Saturn from Mithuna and Mars from Kumbha were aspecting
the tenth lord Jupiter in this horoscope while Rahu in
the tenth house was aspected by Saturn and Jupiter.
It would have been helpful if we had the horoscope of
Karimov. On the basis of his date of birth (30 Jan 1938),
with his Moon in Dhanu. His lagna could also be Dhanu
on the basis of the verification of some well known incident
of his life.
Very soon he is to enter the antardasha of Moon if
he has not already entered it. From his Moon, Saturn will
transit into Karka, the eighth house and Mars Meena, his
fourth house. These are telling the story of his coming
end, a violent end.
Therefore if Karimov thinks that he can do better than
Askar Akayev, the former president of Kyrgyzstan and survive,
it is a vain hope.
If USA and Russia think that they can keep Uzbekistan
from falling a willing victim to Islamic fundamentalism,
it is again a vain hope. All the three planets in the
third house of the horoscope of Uzbekistan and the aspects
of Mars and Saturn on the tenth house, cannot show anything
else except the rise of a fundamentalist state to the
utter discomfiture of both countries.
And see the combined aspects of Mars from the fourth house
and Saturn from the eighth house aspecting the tenth house
indicating a violent change now awaiting Uzbekistan It
can happen after the transit of Jupiter or even before
of Jupiter into Tula in September 2005.
And like destroying the non fundamentalist Iraq of Saddam
Hussein though it had a bad record of suppressing Shiites
and Kurds, what will be the next major American blunder
to provoke Islamic backlash is what the world will watch
now. It is being debated if USA has lost the Iraq war
with so much rise in insurgency. In this context, the
Uzbek riddle will continue to baffle all now to add to
the string of America’s “successful” failures.
( Written on 20 May 2005)
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