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SCANTY MONSOON OF INDIA

To assess the weather forecast for the coming months, let us take a glance at the Ardra Pravesh horoscope. The Ardra Pravesh chart is cast at that very moment when Sun enters the Ardra nakshatra. This defines the rainfall in Northern Region of India. 

The Ardra Pravesh 2021 horoscope has Mithun lagna rising at 9 degrees 3 minutes with Sun and Venus in lagna. Moon and retrograde Jupiter are in the trikonas. A major principle needs to be understood in this chart - Sun is at 6 degrees 40 minutes in Gemini and Mars is at 12 degrees 17 minutes in Cancer, whenever Mars is ahead of Sun, rainfall is minimal. This is a glaring principle in this chart. This year Mars stays ahead of Sun in all these coming months, till October 8th .



Jyotisha is replete with many robust principles:

 Aage Mangal peeche Bhan 
Varsha hove os samaan

Meaning: Whenever Mars is ahead of Sun, in planetary transit during the monsoon months, rainfall is minimal. 

This phenomenon of Mars being ahead of Sun, leading to scanty and deficient rainfall, affects the North western part of India. In the year1944, a famous panchanga, Shatabadi panchang, predicted a drought for 1987, it was 43 years before the drought actually happened. They quoted this very principle of Mars being ahead of Sun, for this delay. 

The Meteorology Department of India will be at a losing end, if they don't partake of India's ancient wisdom. Meteorology could not even predict the 1987 drought in 1987, while the panchang had predicted it decades before.

Sawan mein aage chala 
Ravirath se Kujraye, 
Bhadon Krishna pakhlo 
varsha swalp dikhaye 

Meaning: Whenever Kuja or Mars is ahead of the chariot of the Sun, in the dark fortnight of the month of Bhadrapad, rainfall will be less or scanty 

Explaining this principle, Shri K. N. Rao Sir had done a weather forecast predicting good rainfall from August 24th in 1987. And that was the day we had torrential rains. AstroMeteorology is a very developed science, Indian meteorologists should be ashamed of not using astrology. We don't want to criticize them but they must acknowledge the ancient wisdom that springs from jyotisha. Why should Meteorology neglect the panchangas, for it is only astrology that can give a long range forecast for weather, basis the planetary positions. Meteorologists are incapable of long to medium range forecasts. 

What astrology can predict 40 years in advance, Meteorology cannot predict even 40 days in advance. Village folklore has many couplets giving great insights into the weather, one of them being:

Varsha aawat dekh kar, 
bhaye kokilan maun 
Ab toh dadur bolhi hain, 
hamen pooche hai kaun
 
Meaning: With the onset of the rainy season, the black koel or the Indian Nightingale, now no longer sings her melody, for she says, in the rainy season it will be the frog that will croak, who will now bother to listen to her song.
 
In 1987, Rajiv Gandhi was majorly defamed, like no other Prime Minister, for his alleged link-up in the Bofors scandal. It was a terrible controversy. At that point in time, Girilal Jain had written an editorial in the Times of India, saying that Rajiv Gandhi should now distract people and move their attention away from Bofors by talking about the drought. And that is exactly what Rajiv Gandhi did, he declared that this was the worst drought ever, which was not correct, the worst drought was in 1918, and 1987 was merely a case of delay and not denial. 

In that very year Shri K. N. Rao Sir had written a couple of letters to the Statesman and Hindustan Times, predicting the weather, and it happened exactly as he had forecasted, with rains starting from 24th August in 1987. Hindustan Times wrote an article calling Shri K. N. Rao, 'The Weather Prophet' and 'The Weatherman'. 

Alp-vrishti, ana-vrishti and ati-vrishti, meaning scanty rainfall, negligible or deficient rainfall and good rainfall - one can look at rainfall across these three paradigms. This year we will have scanty to deficient rainfall in Northwestern India. 

The Meteorology division had earlier said that the monsoon would be arriving in June, then they had said it would arrive on the 8th of July, but there is no sign of the monsoon still. Meteorology division it at best a weather reporter not a weather forecaster. It should be remembered that the Indian Meteorological Department can not give any forecast long enough to be of use to the agriculturists of the country. And India being an agri-economy largely, weather forecasts are all the more important. The Hindu astrological method of predicting rainfall is a scientific method spread over a period of at least 6 months observation, stage by stage. There is a need to study the 'garbhadharan' (impregnation) of the clouds towards the end of Dakshinaayan when the moon enters a particular constellation or nakshatra. This should be done to predict rains during the Indian monsoon. 

Appendix 1 

Monsoon Mystery - Letter to the editor THE STATESMAN written by Shri K. N. Rao Sir in 1987 and the subsequent articles in Statesman:

During the past two days or so, Doordarshan in its news bulletins has not been showing the Insat cloud formations picture. Obviously the Meteorological Department has been upset by lack of oceanic depressions. If one goes through the panchangas (astrological almanacs) for the years, published mostly in November and December 1986, it will be seen that the phenomenon of the Sun being behind Mars has been cited as the reason for delay in the arrival of the Monsoon. These panchangas use some very practical astrological principles and forescast more reliably than the meteorological department, which merely "reports." For instance, a good rainfall was predicted for July 25-26 by most panchangas, almost six months in advance. Applying these principles, the following may be observed. On August 3, Mercury was to transit into Cancer and join Venus, brining the temperature down and causing some rainfall. Similarly, on August 11-12, Mercury will cause rainfall: on August 13, it will be Mars: on the 17th it will be the Sun: and, finally, on August 19-20, Saturn and Jupiter will reverse the trend and there will be good relief from the present drought. 

Old links having been lost through neglect, Astro-meteorology is failing in two respects badly: forecast about the region and locality of rainfall correctly (though it is accurate in 60% of the cases) and the intensity of rain fall as the ancient terms used for regions and measurements ("audhaks") have become partly confusing because of the changed State boundaries in India. Yet it will be seen that on the dates mentioned there will be a drop in the temperature accompanied by rain in what are now being described as drought-stricken areas. After August 24, the Sun will overtake Mars, and rain may be more regular. It is worth observing how far in the present context of a feared drought these principles stand scientific scrutiny. 

Appendix 2
THE STATESMAN- 5th August 1987: 

Monsoon Mystery,
the prediction by a reader in our letters column (Aug 4-5) about the monsoon seems to have come true. Quoting the panchangas, based on ancient Hindu astrological principles, he observed that, "On August 23, Mercury was to transit into Cancer and join Venus, bringing the temperature down and causing some rainfall. Similarly, on August 11-12, Mercury will cause rainfall; on August 13, it will be Mars; on the 17th it will be the Sun, and finally on August 19-20 Saturn and Jupiter will reverse the trend and there will be good relief from the present drought." 

It is notable that in almost each case there was some rain, but a day later than the predicted one. The forecast turned out to be more reliable than the ones made day in and day out by the Meteorological Department with the help of the latest scientific instruments,of which weather satellites form an integral part. Who says there is no truth in ancient wisdom? 

Appendix 3
THE STATESMAN - 24th August 1987: 
Have the Gods changed their opinion about our Prime Minister? 

The lack of rain this season had started murmurs about the Gods' unhappiness with Rajiv Gandhi. "When a Raja is dusht (evil), the Gods are unhappy and they don't send the rains", said a farmer sadly. 

In the context of Bofors and other scandals facing the government and the continued absence of the monsoon, it had become easy to believe this age-old superstition and more and more people began blaming the current drought on a "dushtraja". 

There were, of course, some wise ones who thought to ask what happened when the praja was dusht. But they got no answer.
 
The showers this week, however, have set people wondering whether the Gods have changed their minds. May be the Raja is not dusht after all or may be he is not as bad as he seems and his lands can be cooled occasionally.
 
Gods or no Gods, the rains, although mild, have been more than welcome and one can only hope that where the weather men have disappointed, the astrologers are proved right for they have predicted that from August 24, the rains will be normal.
 
Appendix 4 
Weathermen and the Weather-Prophet 

Astrologer K.N.Rao had made fairly accurate predictions about the monsoon recently. Here, in a talk with Anil Saari from Hindustan Times, he makes out a case for promoting astrological research into weather forecasting. 

Is there a cause for organised, scientifically verifiable, astrological research into weather, and in particular into the vagaries of the whimsical Indian monsoon? Can meteoro-astrology help weathermen make more accurate forecasts about the monsoon? 

The noted Indian astrologer, K.N.Rao, an officer in the Indian Audit and Accounts Service, believes that astrometerology can go a long way in solving the meteorologist's problems with forecasting the monsoon. 

Rao himself is currently the focus of considerable media attention, after he made a series of predictions about rainfall in North India in his letter of August 3 published by a Delhi daily. Rao had predicted in that letter that it would rain, in the North after August 3 when Mercury would transit into Cancer and join Venus, that on August 11-12 Mercury would again cause rain and on August 13 it would be Mars, on the 17th it would be the Sun and that finally, on August 19-20, Saturn and Jupiter would reverse the trend and there would be general relief in the drought stricken areas. 

Rao also stated categorically that rains were delayed because the Sun had been trailing Mars but that on August 24 the Sun would overtake Mars and rains would be more regular. 

As it happened, it rained in Delhi on August 4, breaking a long, troublesome dry spell. By August 14 there were several spells of rain in Delhi and East U.P., Chandigarh, Shimla, and parts of Rajasthan. By August 28 there was widespread, unusually heavy rainfall in these areas as well as Marathwada, Karnataka, parts of Madhya Pradesh and Gujrat.
 
Sitting in his study-cum-sitting room, Rao was studying a rapidly growing collection of newspaper clippings, meteorological reports and astrological data. His tables showed him that recorded rainfall in the different regions of the country, particularly in the North, was more or less in conjunction with planetary movements which he had other astrologers were studying. 

He was also convinced that instruments with meteorological offices here and abroad (where super-computers help make weather forecasts a week in advance) were far limited compared to traditional Indian astrological approaches. Rao proposes to make a suggestion to the Union Agriculture ministry that if meteoro-astrological research if aided by scientific equipment with the Meteorological office, and if meteoro-astrological centers were opened all over the country, it might be possible for astrologers and meteorologists to come together and make accurate predictions about rainfall. 

Of course, as an astrologer he knows the odds his proposal will have to overcome. “The same political leaders and bureaucrats who come to me to have their personal horoscopes read, will try to shoot down the proposal. This is because of intellectual cowardice of our politicians and bureaucrats. I am not against science but against this cult of scientism that seems to be taking over and which is pushing traditional wisdom of both the peasant and the Indian astrologer into the background. I wrote that letter to the newspaper on August 3, as a challenge to meteorologists. 

They claim to make accurate predictions upto 48 hours in advance, though everybody knows their forecasts are not always accurate. Astrologers can make greater long-term predictions than meteorologists and this is what I wanted to prove through the letter I sent to the newspaper”, said Rao last week.


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